š” Trading false breakouts can be a profitable strategy for intraday trading.
š False breakouts occur when a price action failure presents a trading opportunity.
š Using a simple approach, traders can identify and trade false breakouts on an intraday basis.
š False breakouts happen in all markets, not just the FX markets.
š” There are two main trading styles: trading a break of a line of support/resistance or a bounce off a line of support/resistance.
š Trading breakouts can be successful when they work, but trading bounces off support/resistance can also be profitable.
False breakout setups can be identified by looking for multiple touches of a resistance level before price falls away.
For intraday trading, a simple false breakout strategy involves looking for a minimum of one touch of a resistance level, such as a big round number or previous day's high.
Setting alerts on the trading platform can help identify opportunities near big round numbers, and drawing levels of support and resistance from longer-term charts can be useful for intraday trading.
š A simple false breakout occurs when price touches a level of resistance and then rejects it by closing below it.
š° To trade a false breakout, you sell the break of the rejection candle or pinbar with a stop loss placed above the high of the candle and a minimum target of one and a half times the risk.
š Having a simple trading method executed flawlessly is more effective than a complex method with too many working parts.
š Price breaks out of the Asian range and moves up nicely.
š Price fails to break above the previous day's high, resulting in a false breakout.
š” Trading a simple visual setup with clear pin bars can be effective across different time frames.
š Trading a simple false breakout involves looking for rejection candles and pinbars before a reversal.
ā° The setup is effective on intraday timeframes like 1, 3, 5, 15, and 30 minutes.
š° Traders can enter a trade by buying the breakout of a bullish pinbar, with a target of 1.5 times the risk.
ā Trading breakouts can be risky, and many breakouts fail in the forex market.
š Failed breakouts can offer opportunities for savvy traders.
š Look for rejection candles (pin bars) at significant levels of support or resistance as entry triggers.
Lec 3: Bias-Variance Tradeoff
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